Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.964025 11.660670 13.513634 15.681655 18.142511 20.842610 24.022867
2025-11-16 6.799029 9.016943 11.699454 15.153747 19.451806 24.589375 31.157036
2025-11-23 4.910029 7.221843 10.259885 14.480041 20.115615 27.298872 37.049962
2025-11-30 4.069183 6.515546 9.953532 15.024217 22.176345 31.748193 45.337253
2025-12-07 3.463272 5.980754 9.733611 15.562435 24.174268 36.178567 53.861865
2025-12-14 2.798231 5.208749 9.016090 15.231821 24.828700 38.725828 59.908862
2025-12-21 2.263751 4.531559 8.317404 14.795231 25.214012 40.837646 65.401480
2025-12-28 2.042735 4.344078 8.365010 15.512276 27.390289 45.701879 75.200271
2026-01-04 1.822885 4.113672 8.297396 16.010995 29.234694 50.158119 84.637053
2026-01-11 1.575706 3.781110 7.995762 16.059142 30.318826 53.470806 92.482857
2026-01-18 1.366099 3.481860 7.707337 16.083505 31.339945 56.718698 100.383776
2026-01-25 1.143916 3.109099 7.220533 15.677597 31.557060 58.635313 106.220292
2026-02-01 0.942323 2.752508 6.739741 15.279658 31.850677 60.868778 113.022598
2026-02-08 0.770491 2.427477 6.277360 14.871002 32.109527 63.109687 120.084560
2026-02-15 0.613561 2.095752 5.738694 14.226940 31.844332 64.393158 125.577312
2026-02-22 0.555639 2.016917 5.761730 14.766451 33.924016 70.013434 138.955238
2026-03-01 0.504055 1.942462 5.781639 15.297388 36.025939 75.801305 152.947821
2026-03-08 0.418283 1.737818 5.442144 14.971749 36.335252 78.251442 161.046684
2026-03-15 0.342726 1.540181 5.081168 14.541614 36.371466 80.164063 168.244203
2026-03-22 0.320138 1.518401 5.189053 15.248108 38.909740 87.078914 185.121147
2026-03-29 0.292175 1.468444 5.209509 15.739527 41.012220 93.253013 200.901612
2026-04-05 0.254177 1.366875 5.062359 15.786972 42.120338 97.498788 213.202500
2026-04-12 0.220758 1.271232 4.914265 15.810978 43.171696 101.683791 225.585775